The Butterfly Effect and why I think its BS

Published on 25 June 2025 at 00:09

By Amelia Pawelczyk

Image from Pinterest.


As of recent times, there seems to be a plethora of social media posts containing the concept of the „Butterfly effect”. For those who aren’t aware, the butterfly effect is a concept which describes how a small, insignificant event in one place, has a larger unpredictable effect elsewhere.


We've all heard the story, a butterfly flaps its wings in Brazil, and a tornado forms in Texas. It's poetic. It's dramatic. And frankly, I think it's total BS. The so called "butterfly effect" has been so stretched, romanticized, and misquoted that it's lost any real scientific grounding it once had. Sure, in chaotic systems, small changes can matter. But that doesn't mean every sneeze or sideways glance you make is altering the fate of the universe. Let’s take a step back and talk about why the butterfly effect is more fiction than fact, and why it's time we stop pretending every minor action we take is some world-altering event. Although im a firm believer that certain events that occur in our lives have an affect on our future, I think people don’t focus on the present enough, but rather fixate on the past. Why do we jump down estranged valleys of possibilities and what if’s? Why can’t we just appreciate what’s infront us?


Frankly, I believe that the misuse of this concept is nothing but a psychological trap. People tend to focus on minor events and blame them whenever a bigger consequence presents itself. This does nothing but make people overestimate the influence of their actions and paralyse them with fear and self doubt. As a species, we should take small opportunities and use them to guide us to reach our desires, rather than religiously overthink every move we make.


When people are told that every small action has a virtuous consequence, we fall down a rabbit hole of: „Should I have taken a different route to work?”, „Did that text ruin our relationship”. It just becomes to easy to be in a pit of anxiety just because of mundane decisions. It only blurs the pictures of reality and obsession. In this misapplied form, this only a casual superstition. It encourages us to draw links between cause and effect where none actually exist or where the link is so tenuous it might as well be random. Humans are naturally inclined to seek patterns-we want to believe our choices have meaning. But not all meaning is useful, and not all consequences stem from some poetic chain reaction that began with us choosing porridge over eggs.


Worse still, it fosters a false sense of control. If a minor action can change the world, then so can a misstep, which means you might feel unjustly responsible for negative outcomes that were never in your control. That kind of thinking isn't empowering. It’s exhausting, draining. Real life isn’t a Hollywood screenplay where every coffee spill leads to a montage of chaos. Most of our small decisions vanish into the white noise of daily life, and that’s okay.
Instead of obsessing over every flap of our metaphorical wings, we’d be better served focusing on the decisions that actually carry weight. The ones that are deliberate, meaningful, and reasonably within our sphere of influence. Freeing yourself from the myth of hyper fragile causality can lead to more grounded thinking, better mental health, and a clearer view of what really matters in your life.

Amelia Pawelczyk

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